Audeac · Strategy Dashboard

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🌐 Macro View (set 2026-05-13 17:22 ET)

Regime

late_cycle

Bias

neutral

Bias multiplier

1.00x

Target hedge coverage

10%

Initial seed 2026-05-13. US growth holding (GDPNow ~3.7%, ISM mixed). Fed in pause posture. Equity at highs with cap-tilt to mega/big concentrated. Credit spreads tight. VIX low. No clear cyclical inflection — neutral bias, 1.0x sizing, light hedge floor. Architect to refresh weekly with formal memo.

Key risks:

Tariff/trade escalation — escalation: New 10%+ tariff on China tech imports
AI capex digestion — escalation: Hyperscaler capex guide-down or NVDA revenue miss
Fed reaction function shift — escalation: Hot CPI or wage data forces hike re-pricing
Geopolitical shock (Middle East / Taiwan) — escalation: Direct kinetic escalation involving major exporter

🛡 Risk Limits

Total capital

$40,000

Max single name

12% ($4,800)

Max sector

40%

Max gross at risk

80%

DD alert threshold

25%

Min hedge coverage

10%

Charter baseline: $40K / 10 bets / ~$4K avg single name. Sector cap 40% prevents tech overconcentration. 80% gross caps preserves cash buffer.

👀 Watchlist (20 names)

Ticker	Tag	Ref High (30d ATM call $)	Now	DD %	Target $	Quality tags	Thesis
NET	🟢	$nan	$nan	+nan%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
PLTR	🟢	$16.09	$7.53	-53.2%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=OK · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
BSX	🟢	$4.36	$2.31	-47.0%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
META	🟢	$40.15	$22.28	-44.5%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
ISRG	🟢	$29.21	$16.59	-43.2%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
DHR	🟢	$10.00	$5.77	-42.3%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
ZTS	🟢	$6.63	$3.92	-40.9%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
VRTX	🟢	$24.32	$14.71	-39.5%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
ABT	🟢	$4.33	$2.83	-34.7%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
MSFT	🟢	$20.43	$13.61	-33.4%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
AMGN	🟢	$14.62	$9.81	-32.9%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=OK	— no thesis yet
AMZN	🟢	$13.15	$9.03	-31.3%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
ORCL	🟢	$21.15	$14.59	-31.0%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
TMO	🟢	$24.56	$17.00	-30.8%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
JNJ	🟢	$8.44	$6.06	-28.2%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=OK	— no thesis yet
XOM	🟢	$7.33	$5.31	-27.6%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=OK	— no thesis yet
LLY	🟢	$53.60	$40.14	-25.1%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
KMI	🟢	$1.22	$0.92	-25.1%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=OK	— no thesis yet
SYK	🟢	$13.28	$9.95	-25.1%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
GOOG	🟡	$16.71	$14.73	-11.9%	$4,000	AI-risk=MED · moat=STRONG · growth=OK	— no thesis yet

Ref price = 252d max of 30d ATM synthetic call (Black-Scholes, σ=IV). Drawdown of -25% = entry trigger.

💼 Open Positions

No open positions. Write a thesis + INSERT to positions when first trigger you take.

🔔 Recent trigger fires (last 30d, top 30)

When (ET)	Ticker	Sector	Spot	IV	DD%	Step
05-19 07:34	PFE	healthcare	$25.33	21.9%	-25.7%	#1
05-14 06:41	BMY	healthcare	$56.39	26.7%	-25.7%	#1
05-14 06:39	CVX	energy	$186.00	26.6%	-25.3%	#1
05-13 12:25	PLTR	ai_tech	$136.00	46.9%	-53.2%	#2
05-13 12:25	NOW	ai_tech	$89.00	54.9%	-48.2%	#1
05-13 12:25	BSX	healthcare	$54.10	35.8%	-47.0%	#1
05-13 12:25	META	ai_tech	$603.00	30.7%	-44.5%	#1
05-13 12:25	ISRG	healthcare	$431.87	32.0%	-43.2%	#1
05-13 12:25	DHR	healthcare	$166.26	28.8%	-42.3%	#1
05-13 12:25	ZTS	healthcare	$76.94	43.0%	-40.9%	#1
05-13 12:25	VRTX	healthcare	$448.29	27.1%	-39.5%	#1
05-13 12:25	ADBE	ai_tech	$240.83	49.2%	-38.9%	#1
05-13 12:25	ABT	healthcare	$84.35	27.7%	-34.7%	#1
05-13 12:25	MSFT	ai_tech	$407.77	27.6%	-33.4%	#1
05-13 12:25	AMGN	healthcare	$336.29	23.9%	-32.9%	#1
05-13 12:25	ELV	healthcare	$393.30	28.6%	-32.0%	#1
05-13 12:25	AMZN	ai_tech	$265.82	28.1%	-31.3%	#1
05-13 12:25	ORCL	ai_tech	$186.83	66.9%	-31.0%	#1
05-13 12:25	TMO	healthcare	$459.30	30.8%	-30.8%	#1
05-13 12:25	GILD	healthcare	$134.94	26.8%	-30.0%	#1
05-13 12:25	OXY	energy	$56.27	36.1%	-29.2%	#1
05-13 12:25	TSLA	ai_tech	$433.45	47.2%	-28.8%	#1
05-13 12:25	JNJ	healthcare	$224.26	22.0%	-28.2%	#1
05-13 12:25	REGN	healthcare	$723.41	36.9%	-27.9%	#1
05-13 12:25	XOM	energy	$150.63	29.2%	-27.6%	#1
05-13 12:25	COP	energy	$117.87	32.3%	-25.6%	#1
05-13 12:25	UNH	healthcare	$396.39	30.2%	-25.3%	#1
05-13 12:25	LLY	healthcare	$989.87	33.9%	-25.1%	#1
05-13 12:25	KMI	energy	$32.45	23.1%	-25.1%	#1
05-13 12:25	SYK	healthcare	$294.45	28.0%	-25.1%	#1

📜 Thesis library

No theses yet. Each candidate must pass all 5 gates before active.